Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.208433 0.236932 0.267487 0.302635 0.341899 0.384362 0.433707
2026-01-25 0.173447 0.212245 0.256593 0.310857 0.375275 0.449105 0.539922
2026-02-01 0.144192 0.188162 0.241287 0.309818 0.395457 0.498484 0.631310
2026-02-08 0.122090 0.168783 0.228056 0.308167 0.412863 0.544205 0.720479
2026-02-15 0.105016 0.153025 0.216761 0.306587 0.428754 0.587779 0.808846
2026-02-22 0.094208 0.143943 0.212678 0.313222 0.454857 0.645272 0.918184
2026-03-01 0.083298 0.133145 0.204701 0.313093 0.470861 0.689394 1.011525
2026-03-08 0.074322 0.123950 0.197770 0.313281 0.486569 0.733266 1.106339
2026-03-15 0.066896 0.116141 0.191888 0.314073 0.502594 0.777858 1.204046
2026-03-22 0.061436 0.110746 0.188996 0.318819 0.524363 0.831509 1.317353
2026-03-29 0.057325 0.107048 0.188291 0.326649 0.551001 0.893463 1.445902
2026-04-05 0.052711 0.101939 0.184723 0.329372 0.569459 0.943601 1.558710
2026-04-12 0.048837 0.097870 0.182766 0.334994 0.593629 1.005079 1.694398
2026-04-19 0.045916 0.095196 0.182921 0.344114 0.624067 1.078114 1.852294
2026-04-26 0.041732 0.089663 0.177494 0.343034 0.637140 1.123718 1.968456
2026-05-03 0.037921 0.084388 0.171994 0.341254 0.648675 1.167147 2.083015
2026-05-10 0.034539 0.079558 0.166823 0.339537 0.659992 1.210535 2.199380
2026-05-17 0.032583 0.077430 0.166562 0.346821 0.687699 1.283029 2.368198
2026-05-24 0.029976 0.073602 0.162603 0.346684 0.701708 1.332335 2.499389
2026-05-31 0.027662 0.070130 0.159010 0.346893 0.716216 1.383037 2.635158
2026-06-07 0.025630 0.067048 0.155908 0.347763 0.731888 1.436404 2.777889
2026-06-14 0.024168 0.065109 0.155010 0.352965 0.756112 1.506304 2.953220
2026-06-21 0.023102 0.063988 0.155747 0.361549 0.787379 1.590524 3.158117